A Colts team without Jonathan Taylor may be the worst team in the NFL, and the Broncos lost to them at home. I don't care that the Broncos had a long week to prepare for this matchup, because their 12-9 overtime loss to the Colts was a blatant FCC violation that should lead to fines for both the NFL and Amazon. This pick is more about fading the Broncos than it is supporting the Chargers. I think Josh Allen is out for revenge after his defeat last year in the playoffs. As for the Bills, they did mismanage the clock and lose to the Dolphins while short-handed in Week 3, but they've also handed three teams blowout losses.īoth teams can put up points, and I don't think anyone would be surprised if either side emerges victorious. They shot themselves in the foot until the appendage fell off against the Indianapolis Colts, and then allowed the one-win Raiders to jump out to a 17-0 lead in Kansas City. The Chiefs have shown more inconsistencies through the first five weeks of the regular season than the Bills. They are the most complete team on both sides of the ball, and possess the kind of depth that's needed from a Super Bowl contender. They have a higher-ranking offense, higher-ranking passing offense, higher-ranking rushing offense, higher-ranking total defense, higher-ranking passing defense and higher-ranking rushing defense. It's fun to debate which one of these teams is the best in the AFC. If Baker Mayfield was healthy and this game was in Charlotte, this would not be a best bet for me. I know the Rams haven't been good, but this is a potential bounce-back spot for Sean McVay and Co. The Panthers are an NFL-worst 3-16 SU and ATS over the last 19 contests, and this game is across the country in L.A. His last win came last year, in Cam Newton's famous 'I'm back!' game.

Walker is actually 2-0 as a starting quarterback despite recording a passer rating below 80 in each game. But here's the difference with the Panthers: they are starting their third-string quarterback who is probably just on the team because of the coach that got fired. Those teams have gone 17-15 ATS the very next game - which is actually impressive considering they compiled a 37.5-percent cover rate prior to the coaches being fired. Per Action Network, 32 teams have fired their coaches during the regular season since 2003. The Panthers fired head coach Matt Rhule this week, and that itself will be enough for bettors to take Carolina to cover the spread.

Day of defeat source best